Financial Statement Analysis and Forecasting Techniques

Introduction

In today's competitive finance environment, finance professionals must provide management with detailed financial analysis highlighting the impacts of organizational financial decisions. This requires expertise in dissecting financial statements, understanding financial data, interpreting financial ratios, and presenting this information compellingly. This course introduces participants to foundational concepts of financial relationships within statements, advances through calculating and assessing financial ratios, and culminates in formulating strategic recommendations using Excel for analysis. Throughout, real-life case studies of published financial statements will be analyzed.


Course Objectives

  • Implement comprehensive financial statement analysis frameworks
  • Master the use of financial ratios and data analysis tools
  • Interpret the financial health and market position of companies
  • Understand company evaluation and financial analysis processes
  • Analyze real-world financial statements from globally traded companies
  • Create dynamic financial analysis templates


Course Outlines

Day 1: Key elements of financial statement analysis

  • Role of financial reporting and analysis in business
  • Essential financial statements and the importance of annual reports
  • Significance of notes and supplementary information in financials
  • Goals of financial statement audits
  • Different types of financial audits
  • Analytical framework for financial statement analysis
  • The accounting cycle and its relevance
  • Basics of financial reporting
  • Interrelationships and classifications within financial statements
  • Standards for financial reporting
  • Significance of financial reporting standards in investment analysis and valuation
  • Regulatory bodies for financial standards
  • Comparison between International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP)


Day 2: Detailed examination of financial statements

  • Income statement analysis
  • Critical elements of income statements
  • Revenue and expense recognition strategies
  • Balance sheet analysis
  • Assessment and categorization strategies
  • Key components of a balance sheet
  • Statement of shareholders' equity changes

Cash flow statement:

  • Analysis of operating, investing, and financing activities
  • Cash flow preparation methods: direct vs. indirect
  • Understanding and analyzing cash flows
  • Standards for cash-rich companies


Day 3: Strategies for financial analysis

  • Vertical and strategic analysis: approaches for balance sheets and income statements
  • Horizontal analysis, trend analysis, and growth metrics

Liquidity metrics analysis:

  • Current, quick, and cash ratios, defensive interval, cash conversion cycle

Asset turnover and efficiency ratios:

  • Analysis of total and fixed asset turnovers

Solvency metrics analysis:

  • Debt-to-equity and interest coverage ratios

Profitability metrics analysis:

  • Analysis of profit margin, gross margin, ROI, ROE

Market assessment and valuation techniques:

  • PE ratio and EPS analysis
  • DuPont analysis: detailed three-step and extended five-step models
  • Limitations of ratio analysis


Day 4: Optimizing departmental efficiency

  • Top essential Excel tips for financial analysts
  • Handling text files in financial reporting
  • Database queries for financial data
  • Data validation and input management
  • Utilizing pivot tables for financial reconciliations and analysis
  • Developing executive reports and dashboards


Day 5: Advanced forecasting techniques for financial analysts

  • Forecasting techniques for income statements
  • Revenue forecasting models
  • Cost of sales and operating expense projections

Balance sheet forecasting methodologies:

  • Forecasting techniques for fixed assets
  • Management of working capital
  • Policies for retained earnings and dividends

Cash flow statement forecasting techniques:

  • Methods for forecasting operating and free cash flows
  • Projections of free cash flows to the firm and to equity